im still in a state of shock that harper will be canada’s next prime minister. just the thought of that man having "rt. hon" in front of his name for the rest of his life makes me shudder... on that note the best of luck to the new pm.
as for prime minister martin … all i can say is that he could have been a great prime minister instead of a good prime minister… if he had fired his useless staff. i am truly saddened to see the prime minister step down and wish him all the best.
now back to the big political story…. LEADERSHIP!
here are the likely suspects for this race and what i think:
john manley – i expect he will be one of the first to declare or not declare. if manley does enter the race he will put forth a strong campaign… I don’t think the left of the party will buy his message… too much baggage from the chrétien years… i.e. monarchy remarks, ideas on u.s. canada relations and his speculated connections to the sponsorship scandal.
martin cauchon – he’s french so that will give him a huge boost … however, im not so sure that will be enough for this contender. here is why… 1) he was part of the chrétien years which leaves the stench of scandal on him. 2) im not so sure that he will be able to bank on the delegation from anywhere but quebec. 3) he is not a sitting member of parliament. combine these three variables and i think he is out. don’t get me wrong … he will run but im positive he will loose.
michael ignatieff – if he is smart he will stay out of this race. ignatieff is new to the party and hasn’t earned anything. his nomination was a shame and as a liberal in etobicoke-lakeshore it would be hard not to loose. i say if ignatieff has any real consideration for the party he will step up and play a role in rebuilding the party.
belinda stronach – no chance… she is an inexperienced and unproven parliamentarian and cabinet minister, doesn’t speak french well, and has not earned her ranks in the liberal party yet. like ignatieff she will need to play a role in rebuilding, rather then being ambitious.
frank mckenna – im about 99.9% sure he will run... especially after his resignation today. mckenna is obviously qualified and is a proven public official. mckenna will be a front runner in this race. however, mckenna has some setbacks. 1) premiers have dismal historic records as leaders and 2) is from new brunswick.
brian tobin – may run … i don’t think he has much of a chance. tobin is a former chretien minister (cough cough… the scandal tag). tobin also has baggage from his premiership in newfoundland and like mckenna will have a hard time overcoming the premier to leader record.
david emerson – probably a front runner if he decides to enter. emerson was an effective minister in the martin government and is a fresh face to politics, with some good ideas… this may give him an edge to emerge as a frontrunner. setbacks … not from quebec or ontario.
bob ray – may be exactly what the party needs … a new face with a vision. has a few obstacles 1) his premiership in ontario 2) not a bread in the bone liberal 3) not a member of parliament.
joe volpe – keep dreaming buddy!
consensus candidates:
carolyn bennett
john godfrey
stephane dion
other possible leadership candidates:
scott brison
allan rock