Wednesday, January 25, 2006

goodbye paul… hello leadership 2006!

im still in a state of shock that harper will be canada’s next prime minister. just the thought of that man having "rt. hon" in front of his name for the rest of his life makes me shudder... on that note the best of luck to the new pm.

as for prime minister martin … all i can say is that he could have been a great prime minister instead of a good prime minister… if he had fired his useless staff. i am truly saddened to see the prime minister step down and wish him all the best.

now back to the big political story…. LEADERSHIP!

here are the likely suspects for this race and what i think:

john manley – i expect he will be one of the first to declare or not declare. if manley does enter the race he will put forth a strong campaign… I don’t think the left of the party will buy his message… too much baggage from the chrétien years… i.e. monarchy remarks, ideas on u.s. canada relations and his speculated connections to the sponsorship scandal.

martin cauchon – he’s french so that will give him a huge boost … however, im not so sure that will be enough for this contender. here is why… 1) he was part of the chrétien years which leaves the stench of scandal on him. 2) im not so sure that he will be able to bank on the delegation from anywhere but quebec. 3) he is not a sitting member of parliament. combine these three variables and i think he is out. don’t get me wrong … he will run but im positive he will loose.

michael ignatieff – if he is smart he will stay out of this race. ignatieff is new to the party and hasn’t earned anything. his nomination was a shame and as a liberal in etobicoke-lakeshore it would be hard not to loose. i say if ignatieff has any real consideration for the party he will step up and play a role in rebuilding the party.

belinda stronach – no chance… she is an inexperienced and unproven parliamentarian and cabinet minister, doesn’t speak french well, and has not earned her ranks in the liberal party yet. like ignatieff she will need to play a role in rebuilding, rather then being ambitious.

frank mckenna – im about 99.9% sure he will run... especially after his resignation today. mckenna is obviously qualified and is a proven public official. mckenna will be a front runner in this race. however, mckenna has some setbacks. 1) premiers have dismal historic records as leaders and 2) is from new brunswick.

brian tobin – may run … i don’t think he has much of a chance. tobin is a former chretien minister (cough cough… the scandal tag). tobin also has baggage from his premiership in newfoundland and like mckenna will have a hard time overcoming the premier to leader record.

david emerson – probably a front runner if he decides to enter. emerson was an effective minister in the martin government and is a fresh face to politics, with some good ideas… this may give him an edge to emerge as a frontrunner. setbacks … not from quebec or ontario.

bob ray – may be exactly what the party needs … a new face with a vision. has a few obstacles 1) his premiership in ontario 2) not a bread in the bone liberal 3) not a member of parliament.

joe volpe – keep dreaming buddy!

consensus candidates:

carolyn bennett
john godfrey
stephane dion

other possible leadership candidates:

scott brison
allan rock

13 Comments:

At 3:15 a.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA HEY HEY HEY GOOD-BYE!!!!!
YEEE HAWWW

 
At 8:48 a.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Lots of chatter about Gerard Kennedy in the last few days. He could be an interesting candidate if he runs.

 
At 9:49 a.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Obviously the person behind this website is out of date since Gerard Kennedy's name is not listed.

 
At 1:06 p.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Remember the last Liberal leadership race, or non race... as it eventually became after the absolute jackboot,steam roller,with us or else,rule fixing,membership form controlling,meeting date rigging,executive overthrowing, (insert your favourite tactic) ... "Martinites" engineered a virtual coronation.

Well my fellow Liberals..just insert the name McKenna wherever Martin appears in your individual memory... same "Board", same style, the deal was done when McKenna agreed not to run last time.

It has started already..watch the Martinite/McKenna forces push for as short a campaign as possible to prevent any fresh faces from having a chance.

http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/Politics/2006/01/25/1411597-cp.html

 
At 1:14 p.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have a funny feeling the campaign will be busted wide open once McKenna's pro-life stand and Carlyle Group association comes out.

 
At 9:26 p.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think the Liberals need a completely fresh face for leader.
Why not Belinda Stronach? The Liberals immediately recognized her potential with a cabinet post. And she sure couldn't be associated with Chretien and Adscan. Plus she is from the GTA!
GO BELINDA!

 
At 10:44 p.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

It is just the begining of a Harper dynasty.Belinda would be a great choice for the leader of the Liberals,a trader with lots of money no brains and nothing to lose.

 
At 11:49 p.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

With McKenna leaving the fate of the Liberal Party has been sealed to the opposition benchs for a good deal of time. The Conervative Party took 20 years to build to the point its at right now and the fact is that Harper, who is not one for hasty action, in all probability will NOT have a major screw up and next compaign when Canadians see that all of the Liberal LIEs were just that, the peopel will be very ept to give Harper a full Mandate and I believe that more after that. Harper is a smart man who, unlike Martin, thiks with head not his....anyways the moral of the story is that leadership candidates who do not see themselves living in the opposition bench as McKenna put it "at elast 10 years" willbe droppign like flies and the "bright stars" will all fade away. Add on top of that 38 million pre-election debt (dont believe me check elections canada youself. I did!) and the accountability act which was marvelously put, will destroy the fundriasing abilities for the Liberals AND the NDP. The Conservatives built up a great fundraising machine that targets teh grassroots people, not the companies so in the same mind as my previous bretheren may I say :Long Live the RIGHT HONORABLE Prime Minister Stephan Harper, the Savior of REAL Canadian values!!!!!

 
At 10:24 p.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Great article! Thanks.

 
At 3:46 a.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Thanks for interesting article.

 
At 9:26 p.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

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At 8:27 p.m. , Anonymous Anonymous said...

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